February
12th – February 18th
-A Linsane
amount of turnovers: As Linsanity dredges
into its
third week of existence, Jeremy Lin’s production hasn’t
dipped. Though the Knicks
finally lost their first game with Lin at the helm, to New
Orleans of all teams, Lin still poured in 26
points. But even before the loss, now that
analysts
have had a chance to inspect Lin’s performances with the clarity
of a bigger
sample size, much is being made over Lin’s high number of
turnovers. Because TOs
are
such an obvious statistic to Lin’s detriment, every statement
about him is
qualified with how “careless he is with the ball.” In his eight starts, Lin has piled up 46 TOs (5.75 per game).
To give some context, the NBA leader in TOs
for the season is Russell Westbrook, averaging 4.3 TOs
per game. Lin has already broken the NBA
turnover record for a five game span with 35 (7 TOs
per game). While this rate of turning
the ball over is incredibly high, I can’t help but see it as a
cop-out for
those looking to understand the rise of Jeremy Lin.
Most people do not want to just crown Jeremy
Lin king of the basketball multi-verse, which is a fair enough
motivation, and
in the mean time, the TOs are a good point
to argue Lin
down from seeming superhuman. How good
can he really be if he turns the ball over that frequently? For starters, one must understand why a
turnover is a bad thing: because it eliminates the chance of creating a
shot
opportunity. But not all TOs are the same.
Taking a 24-second violation is not as costly as losing the ball
in the
backcourt, leading to an easy bucket, for instance.
TOs can’t be judged
without context. In the grand scheme of
things, the team that shoots the most will win the majority of the time. The quality of your shots and the quality of
the people taking those shots obviously factors into the end result,
but it
doesn’t take a genius to notice there is a corollary between the
team that
takes the most shots in a game and team wins.
In fact, if one wanted to, you could actually calculate the
number of
shots you’d need to take in a game to win (assuming your team is
worse and will
shoot a lower percentage.) For a quick
example, if your team is an underdog and will shoot 10% worse than the
opponent, and your opponent will shoot 70 shots in a game, holding
three-pointers and free throws as basically equal, it is easy math to
figure
out how many more shots you will need to take to win the game (in this
instance, 18 more, for a game total of 88).
Basketball does not exist in a tiny vacuum where a team could
consciously decide to do something like this, as the struggle of the
game is a
balancing act: you simply try to do more good things than bad things,
and the
team that accomplishes this goal will likely win. So,
turnovers are costly because they cost
you shot opportunities, but in the whole equation, if you are doing
enough
things to compensate for those turnovers, the net result is positive. And there is plenty of evidence to suggest
Lin’s turnovers don’t really matter all that much. For one thing, the ball is in Lin’s
hands the
VAST majority of the time. The longer
the ball is in your hands, the more turnovers you will have. And Lin is averaging 38 minutes per game. On the court for that long, with that many
plays depending on you, turnovers are going to be increased. The style of the Knick’s
offense doesn’t help either, as they seem to run nothing but pick
and
rolls. There is no continuity to the
offense that allows for safe side to side passes and offensive
opportunities
opening up due to motion. Rather, every
opportunity the Knicks get is dependant on
Lin’s
ability to get into the paint and create for himself
or a teammate. These situations are much
riskier and more volatile, statistics-wise, and it should be no
surprise that a
fair number of them end in turnovers.
And while the amount of turnovers over this 8-game period has
been
staggering, record-setting even, he is doing plenty to offset them. His 15 steals over that time directly negate
15 of the turnovers. His points and
assists are evidence that he creates good opportunities far more than
he gives
the ball away. Also, I’d be leery of
the
things Lin would have to do to lessen his turnovers.
He would have to be more cautious and not go
flying into the lane with reckless abandon.
For some parts of his game, this is good advice (specifically
that he
should stop getting caught in the air, looking to make a pass out of
desperation). But that reckless abandon
is also what makes him a dynamic, effective player.
Playing with the caution necessary to lower
the amount of turnovers may have a negative net result, as it may
hinder his
aggressiveness. There is nothing
traditional about Lin’s game or background.
He shouldn’t try to start fitting into some
statistically-acceptable
mindset because of a few turnovers. The Knicks are 7-1 with him starting.
That’s really all that matters.
-Raymond Felton turns to his mother
(Feb 16th):
Following a loss to the Clippers, Portland
guard Raymond Felton wasn’t feeling the love from his coach, Nate McMillan.
Felton said, “I know I'm struggling, but it's hard to
perform the way
you know how when you know they don't have confidence in you. Never in my days playing basketball, have I
felt like a coach wasn't confident in my abilities. It's hard to play
knowing
that. Tonight was one
of those nights where it was hard to get into the game knowing
every
mistake I made would be magnified. It's
to the point where the only person I could turn to was my mom.” Struggling isn’t even the word for what
Felton has done this season. More like
pathetic. Against the Clippers that
night, Felton went 0-7 from the field with 5 TOs. For the season, he’s shooting a
miserable 36%
from the field and 21% from behind the arc.
He’s averaging 7 points less than last year, when he had
his breakout
year with the Knicks and Nuggets. Apparently, Felton attributes his poor
performance to his coach’s lack of confidence in him. And if he felt strongly enough about this
that he needed to go to the media, there may be some truth in it. But I know a source of greater truth: the
publicly tended garden that is the internet.
There, truth is filtered and honed by billions of people, to the
point
that, if the internet has figured something out, it must be true. I'm not talking about rumor mills or gossip sites, I'm talking about highly-evidenced facts
that exist
all over the web. And go ahead, type
“Raymond Felton” into your Google browser.
The fourth or fifth suggested search is “Raymond Felton
Fat.” Though Felton is listed at 205
pounds, and
has always been a thick-shouldered, beefy guy (who always wore a
tee-shirt underneath
his jersey to hide some of his bulk), he was an obvious victim of the
NBA
lockout. With no coaches or trainers to
stay on him, he gained 20-30 pounds, I'd estimate.
Some of that has already melted away with the
rigors of the condensed season, but attributing his lack of success to Nate McMillan’s coaching is a little
ridiculous, seeing as
though he came into the season looking like a bloated corpse. It’s usually unfair to be critical of
people
for gaining weight, but Felton is a professional athlete.
His job performance directly requires him to
take care of his body. He may have
confidence issues that stem from being so badly out of shape at the
start of
the season, but deflecting that onto your coach isn’t fair. I’d suggest that Felton find a mirror
and
take a good long look at himself before he
throws his
coach under the bus. On second thought,
maybe he should find a scale.
Lin’s “Chink in the
Armor” (Feb 17th):
After Lin’s first loss as a starter, ESPN.com wondered aloud
whether Linsanity was about to be derailed. In a poor choice of words, the headline read,
“Chink in the Armor.” For most
of the
common world, so saturated with knowledge of racial dynamics and
epithets, the
reference to “Chink” could only be interpreted as a slur
against Lin’s Asian
ancestry. ESPN quickly apologized for
the headline and fired the person responsible for the mistake. Then again, one has to wonder how intentional
the slur was. An
oversight? Absolutely. But I find it hard to believe a man risked
his job and lifestyle to intentionally throw a slur at Jeremy Lin, who
has aroused
no hatred at all, on a website that is the GO-TO spot for sports
information. I’d say it’s
probable that
writing headlines for the ESPN website was something of a dream job for
the
man, who hasn’t been named in any of the statements by ESPN. Why would he risk all that for one little
racial pun? I’d say it’s more
likely
that the man didn’t notice the racial implications at all. As many subsequent articles have pointed out,
“Chink in the Armor” is a common phrase used in sports and
very apt in describing
Lin (owing to the turnover issue which we have already covered). Further, I found an article on “The
Oracle”
website (based out of the University of South Florida) that notes the
racism in
disallowing headlines to people of a certain race, “Media outlets
deciding
that, because Lin is Asian, he therefore does not have the capacity to
be
described using a commonly used phrase is the real racism.” I couldn’t have said it any better. The headline maker’s ignorance of the
double
meaning of “Chink” is proof that he ISN’T RACIST. Only a racist filters everything through
race. ESPN took the safe route and
apologized for the incident, not wanting to look naïve. But the braver route would have been to not
apologize
and stand behind the headline writer, refusing to submit to some
American taboo
against using words with explicit double meanings or potential racial
undertones. The media, to a large extent,
cannot control how the reader will process the information it produces. The fact that everyone’s first instinct
was
to cry foul and scream, “HE CALLED LIN A CHINK!”,
reveals more about our country’s obsession with racial divisions
than it does
about a website writer making a headline to describe Jeremy Lin’s
first loss as
a starter. And that’s Jeremy Lin the
basketball
player, not the Asian-American.